Robotics Bottleneck Research机器人瓶颈研究

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company

Intuitive SurgicalIntuitive Surgical ISRG

Country国家 United States美国

Systems系统 Work工作 · Integration集成 · Muscle肌肉 · Immune免疫

Bottlenecks瓶颈 P13 Dexterous manipulation灵巧操作 · P16 Safety validation & certification安全验证与认证 · P17 Integration, uptime, service集成、在线率与服务 · P18 Vertical workflow ROI垂直工作流 ROI

Market cap市值 Live, via TradingView.实时数据,来自 TradingView。

da Vinci and Ion surgical systems, instruments, consumables and service. 11,710 systems installed.

da Vinci 与 Ion 手术系统、器械、耗材与服务。装机量 11,710 台。

What it doesda Vinci and Ion surgical systems, instruments, consumables and service. 11,710 systems installed.

在干什么da Vinci 与 Ion 手术系统、器械、耗材与服务。装机量 11,710 台。

Name sheetIntuitive Surgical

Why it mattersThe only mature proof on the whole map, and every previously published figure verified. Q2 2026, reported 2026-07-16: total revenue $2.89bn (+19% year over year), instruments and accessories $1.73bn (+18%), systems $685m against $575m, a da Vinci installed base of 11,710 (up 12% from 10,488), an Ion installed base of 1,096 (up 21% from 905), da Vinci procedure volume up about 15% and Ion up about 36%. Consumables-to-systems is 2.53x. That ratio is what P17/P18 looks like once it converges: the installed system is the entry point, consumables and service are the business. Note for the P17 debate: Intuitive discloses the ratio that constitutes the moat every quarter as a line item, while Teradyne discloses robotics revenue and stops. The disclosure asymmetry between the converged case and the contested case is itself evidence.

为何重要全图唯一成熟的证明,且此前发布的每一个数字均已核实。2026-07-16 公布的 Q2 2026:总收入 28.9 亿美元(同比 +19%),器械与耗材 17.3 亿美元(+18%),系统 6.85 亿美元(上年 5.75 亿),da Vinci 装机 11,710 台(同比 +12%,上年 10,488 台),Ion 装机 1,096 台(+21%,上年 905 台),da Vinci 手术量同比约 +15%,Ion 约 +36%。耗材与系统之比为 2.53 倍。这一比值正是 P17 与 P18 收敛之后的形态:装机量是入口,耗材与服务才是生意。P17 之争的旁注:直觉外科每个季度都把构成护城河的那个比值单列披露,而泰瑞达只披露机器人收入便止步于此。已收敛案例与争议案例之间的披露不对称,本身即是证据。

Caveat

Return +12.54%, confidence 85. PMF is mature; the risks are valuation, regulation and competition.

Margin of safety is better below $400.

风险提示

回报 +12.54%,置信度 85。PMF 已成熟,风险在估值、监管与竞争。

400 美元以下安全边际更佳。

Productda Vinci and Ion systems, instruments, consumables, and service

Value accrualInstalled systems plus per-procedure instruments, consumables, and service create recurring revenue

Key riskQ2 2026 revenue $2.89bn (+19%), net income $818m; 11,710 da Vinci systems. Consumables revenue $1.73bn versus systems $685m. PMF is mature; valuation, regulation, and competition are primary risks.

Bottlenecks瓶颈 P13 Dexterous manipulation灵巧操作 · P16 Safety validation & certification安全验证与认证 · P17 Integration, uptime, service集成、在线率与服务 · P18 Vertical workflow ROI垂直工作流 ROI

Class
public
Country
US
HQ
Sunnyvale, United States
Layer
Vertical application / Medical robotics
Systems
work · body · muscle · immune
Caveat stance
pass
Ticker
ISRG
Exchange
Nasdaq
Purity
High
Valuation tier
1
Last verified
2026-08-12
Confidence note
High
Sleeve
A
Sources
S-PUB-008
Translated fields
what_it_does_en · why_it_matters_en · caveat_en
Chain position
midstream
COMPANY RESEARCH公司研究 Commercial evidence商业证据 Expand +展开 + Collapse −收起 −
Commercial evidence shows how far a company has moved from a product claim to repeatable customer value. We look for a defined customer task, paid deployment, operating results, the human help required, and economics that can support repeat use. Missing information stays unassessed; it does not count as evidence against the company.商业证据用于判断一家公司从产品宣称走到了可重复客户价值的哪一步。我们关注明确的客户任务、付费部署、运行结果、所需人工协助,以及能否支持重复采用的经济性。缺失信息保持未评估,不会被当作对公司的负面证据。 Each item below applies only to the cited document and period. It should be read with its evidence class, review date, and stated limits.以下每项内容仅适用于所引文件与期间,阅读时应同时考虑证据类别、核查日期与已说明的局限。
Customer and task
客户与任务
Not yet assessed in this structured record.本结构化记录尚未评估。
Deployment and payment
部署与付款
Not yet assessed in this structured record.本结构化记录尚未评估。
Task results and human assistance
任务结果与人工协助
Not yet assessed in this structured record.本结构化记录尚未评估。
Cost and repeat purchases
成本与复购
Not yet assessed in this structured record.本结构化记录尚未评估。
What the evidence cannot establish
证据的局限
Not yet assessed in this structured record.本结构化记录尚未评估。
How to evaluate commercial evidence如何评估商业证据